特朗普神預測！瑞典真的出事了！
Saturday night, President Donald Trump held a rally in Melbourne, Florida, where he attempted to defend his controversial “Muslim ban” executive order by pointing to the consequences of migration in Europe. He focused on an unspecified event that took place “last night in Sweden”:
週六晚，唐納德•特朗普總統在佛羅里達州墨爾本市舉行了一次集會，集會上他把矛頭指向了歐洲接受移民的後果，試圖爲他頗有爭議的“穆斯林禁令”這一行政禁令辯護。他強調了“瑞典昨晚”發生的一次不明確的事件，他說：
When you look at what’s happening in Germany, when you look at what’s happening last night in Sweden — Sweden! Who would believe this? Sweden! They took in large numbers, they’re having problems like they never thought possible.
“你們看看德國正在發生什麼，你們再瞧瞧昨晚瑞典發生了什麼。瑞典！誰會相信是瑞典？瑞典！他們讓大量難民涌入，正面臨從未預料到的各種問題。”
The only problem is that nothing happened the prior night in Sweden. The reaction was swift and confused. @Sweden, a national Twitter account run by a different Swedish citizen each week, denied that anything happened. Former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt tweeted, “Sweden? Terror attack? What has he been smoking?”
唯一的問題就是瑞典前一晚什麼事都沒發生。人們的反應非常迅速，而且人們都很困惑。@Sweden是一個Twitter賬戶，每週由不同的瑞典市民管理，這一賬戶否認了有事發生。瑞典前任首相Carl Bildt發表推文稱：“瑞典？恐襲？他在亂噴什麼？”
There’s a very real question going on here: What on earth was the president of the United States talking about? What does he think is going on in Sweden?
現在有一個非常現實的問題：美國總統究竟在說什麼？他認爲瑞典發生了什麼？
Our best guess: Sweden’s alleged “rape epidemic”.
我們最有可能的猜測就是：外界宣稱的“強姦盛行”。
There’s a clear narrative about Sweden: Muslim migrants are raping Swedish women at uNPRecedented numbers. These claims have even made it into mainstream outlets like National Review and Fox News. Friday night, Fox’s Tucker Carlson interviewed Ami Horowitz, a journalist who said that “from the onset of the refugee crisis, there was a surge in [Swedish] gun violence and rape.”
關於瑞典有一個明確的說法：穆斯林移民強姦瑞典婦女的案件數量史無前例。這些說法甚至進入了主流媒體，比如《National Review》和《福克斯新聞》。週五晚，《福克斯新聞》的塔克•卡森採訪一位新聞工作者Ami Horowitz時，Ami Horowitz說：“自從第一次恐怖襲擊開始，瑞典的槍支暴力和強姦率激增。”
The odds are that Trump heard one of these claims about a Swedish refugee rape epidemic somewhere — and appropriated them to justify his travel ban.
奇怪的是特朗普在某個地方聽到了一個這種關於瑞典難民強姦案激增的言論，就用來爲他的旅遊禁令辯護。
Sweden has a higher official rape rate, because its police are better able to investigate and prosecute sexual violence. These panics about immigration, instead, reflect a long history of sexual panics in the West about nonwhite immigrants. The so-called “rape epidemic” is just something anti-immigrant campaigners have latched onto to justify their preexisting desire to shut the door on Muslim migration.
瑞典官方發佈的強姦率比以往高，因爲警察能更好地調查起訴性暴力。相反這些關於移民的恐慌反映了西方長期以來對於非白人移民的性恐慌。所謂的“強姦盛行”只是那些反移民運動者用來爲他們一直存在的不接受穆斯林移民的願望而辯護的工具。
Monday, Sweden’s current Prime Minister Stefan Lofven, in a joint press conference Monday with Canadian Governor General David Johnson, said of Mr. Trump’s comments: “Let me put it like this: I was, like many other I believe, surprised by the comments made about Sweden this weekend. Sweden like many other countries, we have opportunities, we have challenges, I believe that goes for every country in the world.”
週一瑞典現任首相Stefan Lofven在同加拿大David Johnson總督一起參加聯合記者招待會時提到了特朗普先生的言論，他說：“這樣說吧，我像很多我相信的人一樣，對於本週末關於瑞典的評論感到震驚。瑞典像很多其他國家一樣有機遇，也有挑戰。我相信世界上每個國家都是如此。”
That very same evening, riots erupted in Sweden’s capital, Stockholm, in an area predominately inhabited by refugees. On Monday night for “over four hours, the crowd burned about half a dozen cars, vandalized several shopfronts and threw rocks at police. Police spokesman Lars Bystrom confirmed to Sweden’s Dagens Nyheter newspaper that an officer fired shots at a rioter but missed. A photographer for the newspaper was attacked by more than a dozen men and his camera was stolen, but ultimately no one was hurt or even arrested,” The Washington Post wrote.
當晚瑞典首都斯德哥爾摩一處以難民爲主的聚居區就爆發了暴亂。《華盛頓郵報》報道，週一晚暴亂持續了四個多小時，暴亂分子燒燬了六輛汽車，砸了幾家店面，還朝警察扔石頭。警方發言人Lars Bystrom向瑞典《Dagens Nyheter》報紙證實了一名警察朝暴亂者開槍，但沒打中。該報的一名攝影師被多人襲擊，照相機被偷。但最終無人受傷或被捕。
In 2015, Sweden took in the largest number of refugees. Although the Swedish Crime Survey says the country’s crime rate has decreased since 2005, official statistics also show that foreign-born residents account for the lion’s share of crime in Sweden，the Washington Times has reported.
2015年瑞典涌入了大量難民。據《華盛頓時報》報道，雖然瑞典犯罪調查部門說瑞典的犯罪率從2005年起一直在下降，但官方數據也顯示了外籍居民在瑞典犯罪案件中佔很大比例。
Monday night offered a glimpse into those statistics. Guess Mr. Trump had a point, after all.
週一晚上的暴亂就印證了這些數據，這一局特朗普險勝。
